Posted on by carl

A New Democratic Count

Two new Democrats have entered the race — Michael Bloomberg and Deval Patrick. And several have left. I need to reset the database again.

But before I do, here is the count between now and the last reset. In this count there has been a flood of traffic from Daily Kos. It appears that the Kossacks really like Elizabeth Warren. (I wonder if they read her book promoting stay-at-home motherhood…)

Plurality Vote Count

Plurality vote totals:

CandidateNumber of Votes
Michael Bennet0
Joe Biden4
Cory Booker2
Steve Bullock0
Pete Buttigieg9
Julian Castro1
John Delaney0
Tulsi Gabbard4
Kamala Harris4
Amy Klobuchar1
Wayne Messam0
Beto O’Rourke1
Tim Ryan0
Bernie Sanders11
Joe Sestak0
Tom Steyer0
Elizabeth Warren32
Marianne Williamson0
Andrew Yang6
TOTAL:75

The winner is Elizabeth Warren with 42.7% of the vote

Approval Vote Count

Approval vote totals:

CandidateNumber of Votes
Michael Bennet7
Joe Biden29
Cory Booker36
Steve Bullock3
Pete Buttigieg33
Julian Castro32
John Delaney3
Tulsi Gabbard15
Kamala Harris37
Amy Klobuchar24
Wayne Messam1
Beto O’Rourke18
Tim Ryan0
Bernie Sanders42
Joe Sestak3
Tom Steyer6
Elizabeth Warren55
Marianne Williamson8
Andrew Yang21
Ballots Cast:75

The winner is Elizabeth Warren with 73.3% of the vote

Range Count

CandidateNumber of Stars
Michael Bennet148
Joe Biden320
Cory Booker329
Steve Bullock127
Pete Buttigieg385
Julian Castro322
John Delaney101
Tulsi Gabbard146
Kamala Harris372
Amy Klobuchar292
Wayne Messam70
Beto O’Rourke282
Tim Ryan97
Bernie Sanders468
Joe Sestak85
Tom Steyer138
Elizabeth Warren562
Marianne Williamson114
Andrew Yang288

And the winner is: Elizabeth Warren

Instant Runoff (Ranked Choice) Counts

Instant Runoff required 6 rounds:

Round 1:

Michael Bennet0
Joe Biden3
Cory Booker2
Steve Bullock0
Pete Buttigieg9
Julian Castro1
John Delaney0
Tulsi Gabbard3
Kamala Harris4
Amy Klobuchar1
Wayne Messam0
Beto O’Rourke2
Tim Ryan0
Bernie Sanders13
Joe Sestak0
Tom Steyer1
Elizabeth Warren29
Marianne Williamson0
Andrew Yang7

Eliminated in this round:

  • Michael Bennet
  • Steve Bullock
  • John Delaney
  • Wayne Messam
  • Tim Ryan
  • Joe Sestak
  • Marianne Williamson
  • Julian Castro
  • Amy Klobuchar
  • Tom Steyer

Round 2:

Joe Biden3
Cory Booker2
Pete Buttigieg9
Tulsi Gabbard3
Kamala Harris5
Beto O’Rourke2
Bernie Sanders13
Elizabeth Warren31
Andrew Yang7

Eliminated in this round:

  • Cory Booker
  • Beto O’Rourke

Round 3:

Joe Biden4
Pete Buttigieg9
Tulsi Gabbard3
Kamala Harris7
Bernie Sanders13
Elizabeth Warren32
Andrew Yang7

Tulsi Gabbard eliminated in this round.

Round 4:

Joe Biden4
Pete Buttigieg9
Kamala Harris7
Bernie Sanders16
Elizabeth Warren32
Andrew Yang7

Joe Biden eliminated in this round.

Round 5:

Pete Buttigieg10
Kamala Harris7
Bernie Sanders16
Elizabeth Warren35
Andrew Yang7

Eliminated in this round:

  • Kamala Harris
  • Andrew Yang

Round 6:

Pete Buttigieg13
Bernie Sanders20
Elizabeth Warren42

And the winner is: Elizabeth Warren

Range with Runoff Count

First Round:

For the first round, we count just as in Range Voting, but we are interested in the top two candidates. If there is a tie for second place in this round, then we take the top candidate and all second place candidates to the second round.

CandidateNumber of Stars
Michael Bennet153
Joe Biden318
Cory Booker339
Steve Bullock130
Pete Buttigieg394
Julian Castro336
John Delaney97
Tulsi Gabbard147
Kamala Harris386
Amy Klobuchar289
Wayne Messam71
Beto O’Rourke282
Tim Ryan99
Bernie Sanders470
Joe Sestak88
Tom Steyer140
Elizabeth Warren568
Marianne Williamson119
Andrew Yang296

The following candidates make it to Round 2:

  • Elizabeth Warren
  • Bernie Sanders

Second Round:

Here are the vote counts for the second round. A candidate gets a vote if he/she has the highest number of stars in the truncated ballot. If multiple candidates get the same, highest, star count, then multiple candidates get a vote. In this sense, the second round is somewhere between Plurality and Approval.

CandidateVotes
Elizabeth Warren54
Bernie Sanders30

And the winner is: Elizabeth Warren